For which strategies?
StratSENTINEL #1 & #2Ā areĀ universalĀ and work onĀ allĀ strategiesĀ backtestsĀ of all assets.
Why we made these innovations?
šĀ On theĀ macro sideĀ of the equity curve
How many losses have you endured from strategies that worked perfectly but, for some reason, linked to the market structure itself, started continuously losing?
You want to stop that at the earliest.
For other mysterious reasons, it starts performing again.
You want to visualize exactlyĀ whenĀ andĀ ifĀ it is statistically relevant.
šĀ Ā On theĀ micro sideĀ of the equity curveĀ (the current trade)
Sometimes you feel that this trade of your algo is either exceptionally good or bad right?
Should you let the trade go and let it come back to the average or worse?
Or get an overprofit (or cut this announced loss) toĀ optimize the equity curve?
Now you can see how good/bad this tradeĀ is vs. the distribution of all the previous trades.Ā Statistically.
Our key innovation is to handleĀ an equity curve like an asset.
How does it work?
StratSENTINELĀ #1
āļø Applies a zero-lag indicator to statistically anticipate when the strategy does not respond well to market conditions
āļø Gives an intuitive sense of the equity performance
Light blue:Ā the strategy responds positively again to the market configuration with its entry conditions
š consider launching the first half (1/2) of your position at this point
Dark blue:Ā the market configuration is favorable
š consider launching the second half (2/2) of your position
Light red:Ā the strategy efficiency starts declining vs.Ā the market configuration
š consider exiting the first half (1/2) of your position at this point
šĀ do not launch the strategy at this stage
Dark red:Ā the strategy fails vs the market configuration
š consider exiting second half (2/2) of your position
šĀ do not launch the strategy at this stage
StratSENTINELĀ #2
āļø Creates aĀ probability cone based onĀ statistics,Ā to compare the current trade to past ones
āļø Tells you if this trade belongs to the 20%, 10%, 5% or the 1% of the best trades of the batch
āļøĀ You can now “evaluate” each trade to get an additional over profitĀ vs.Ā the equity backtest
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Configuration
š Step 1: create your strategy and backtest it
š use a 200 000 units backtest
š tick by tick
š Step 2: apply the indicators directly in the Backtest chart
Here are the different options you can switch ON or OFF to make yourĀ StratSENTINELĀ totally yours:
š SlowFilterPeriod:
šĀ increaseĀ the number if the TimeFrame is low (M1, M2, M5, M10) to flatten the curve (> 4)
šĀ decreaseĀ the number if the TimeFrame is high (H1, H2, H4) to curve the filter (< 4)
š ShowPercentage:Ā
š For ex: 5% (in the blue spectrum) gives you level of performance reach by only 5% of the positive trades
š Under this line, 85% of the past trades are under this level
š Consider the 5% line as highly significant statistically = it is a very rare event among the sample
š ShowTradeStart:Ā
š Indicates even more clearly the start of the trade
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