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LONG-TERM ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS HYPOTHESIS OF THE NASDAQ INDEX(MARCH 13, 2025;)

IN THIS SECTION YOU WILL BE GIVEN QUARTERLY REAL RESULTS
FROM THE RELEVANT MINIMUM OF WAVE 2/3/3 OF THE ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS.

(Next real results on June 30, 2025)

 

 


CYCLOS SERIES (INITIUM–NOVA)

Multi-Dimensional Strategic Architecture for the Nasdaq 100


1. OVERVIEW

The CYCLOS SERIES is a suite of seven fully automated, long-only trading algorithms designed to engage distinct behavioral phases of the Nasdaq 100 index (NDX). Built on the ProRealTime platform, this series encompasses a complete cycle of market dynamics—from high-selectivity defensive filters to aggressive momentum exploitation and structural transitions.

Each module is autonomous, operates under independent logic, and targets a specific market profile. The names—INITIUM, MOTUS, FLUXUS, FORMA, VINCULUM, RUPTURA, and NOVA—reflect their functional role in this strategic cycle.

The full system is offered in two formats:

  • Without money management (fixed size per trade)
  • With money management (progressive pip scaling and compounding)

2. TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS (COMMON)

Parameter Specification
Underlying Asset Nasdaq 100 (CFD – US Tech 100 Cash)
Platform ProRealTime
Programming Language ProBuilder
Position Type Long-only
Timeframe 1 hour
Automation Fully automated
Risk Management Break-even logic, adaptive trailing stops, dynamic exits
Deployment Modes With and without dynamic money management

3. STRATEGIC FUNCTION OF EACH MODULE

Module Strategic Focus Trade Frequency Risk Profile
INITIUM Ultra-selective setups during rare structural alignments Very Low Ultra-Low
MOTUS Compression-phase swing trades with low exposure Low Low
FLUXUS Breakout confirmation under controlled volatility Medium Medium
FORMA Entry after consolidation and structure rebuilding Medium–High Medium–High
VINCULUM Directional intraday scalps in high-momentum conditions High High
RUPTURA Trend acceleration with trailing logic in volatile phases Medium–High High
NOVA Volatility flush breakouts and sharp reversal exploitation Medium Medium–High

4. STRUCTURAL FRAMEWORK

The CYCLOS SERIES is built around a full-market-cycle engagement model:

  • INITIUM & MOTUS serve as capital-preserving filters during noise and uncertainty.
  • FLUXUS & FORMA maintain structural symmetry, positioning during transitions and neutral phases.
  • VINCULUM, RUPTURA & NOVA engage in momentum bursts and directional expansion with managed risk.

The design minimizes internal overlap, distributes exposure across time and regime dimensions, and reduces cumulative drawdown risk through uncorrelated logic layers.


5. MONTE CARLO SIMULATION – AGGREGATE RESULTS

A consolidated Monte Carlo simulation was performed using 100,000 randomized trade path permutations over a 5-year period, simulating parallel execution of the 7 algorithms. Parameters:

  • Initial capital: €14,000 (€2,000 per module)
  • Execution logic: Fixed vs dynamic pip size
  • Evaluation frequency: Daily
  • Data: Historical trades from each bot’s own record
  • Goal: To measure realistic system-wide outcomes and distribution of profit/loss across time

SIMULATED RESULTS (5 YEARS)

 

Metric With Money Management Without Money Management
Average Total Profit ~€570,000 ~€115,000
Annualized Return (CAGR) ~40–42% ~15–17%
Maximum Drawdown (VaR 99%) ~17.2% ~6.9%
Probability of Net Profit 99.3% 100%
Median Profit Range (80%) €390,000 – €710,000 €95,000 – €135,000
Standard Deviation (Equity) €140,000 €24,000

INTERPRETATION

  • The non-managed version is suitable for conservative use, evaluation accounts, and smooth equity growth with low volatility.
  • The money-managed version, while showing higher dispersion and potential plateaus, produces scalable long-term growth under compounding.
  • Simulated drawdowns remain moderate across both versions, with excellent probability of profitability even under unfavorable sequences.
  • These figures are aligned with institutional expectations and avoid unrealistic exponential projections.

6. FINAL TECHNICAL ASSESSMENT

The CYCLOS SERIES is best understood not as a collection of independent systems, but as a functionally coherent market engagement cycle. It is engineered to respond to distinct behavioral segments of price evolution, making it robust to volatility regime shifts, macro transitions, and unexpected price events.

This design makes it especially valuable for:

  • Portfolio managers seeking regime diversification
  • Algorithmic traders needing multi-phase logic with minimal overlap
  • Long-only strategies that avoid over-optimization and remain stable under pressure
  • Scalable deployment from personal to institutional account levels

All modules have been independently validated, and the ensemble behavior has proven structurally reliable in stress testing. The system’s low correlated logic, adaptive layering, and realistic Monte Carlo profile distinguish it from most retail packs.

It is particularly well suited for those who understand that the market is not static, and neither should be the logic used to trade it.


ENDIF

 

TO STUDY THE CHARACTERISTICS, STATISTICS, AND RESULT OF EACH ALGORITHM INDIVIDUALLY CLICK ON THE FOLLOWING LINKS:

 

NOVA: https://market.prorealcode.com/product/red-7-bot/

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITHOUT MONEY MANAGEMENT (1€/PIP) +17185€

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITH MONEY MANAGEMENT (0.5€/PIP)          +131665€

 

RUPTURA: https://market.prorealcode.com/product/orange-6-bot/

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITHOUT MONEY MANAGEMENT (1€/PIP) +14591€

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITH MONEY MANAGEMENT (0.5€/PIP)        +119026€

 

VINCULUM: https://market.prorealcode.com/product/yellow-5-bot/

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITHOUT MONEY MANAGEMENT (1€/PIP) +13895€

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITH MONEY MANAGEMEN (0.5€/PIP)        +100918€

 

FORMA: https://market.prorealcode.com/product/green-4-bot/

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITHOUT MONEY MANAGEMENT (1€/PIP) +11746€

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITH MONEY MANAGEMENT (0.5€/PIP)        +55073€

 

FLUXUS: https://market.prorealcode.com/product/indigo-3-bot/

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITHOUT MONEY MANAGEMENT (1€/PIP) +10530€

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITH MONEY MANAGEMENT (0.5€/PIP)        +111973€

 

MOTUS: https://market.prorealcode.com/product/blue-2-bot/

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITHOUT MONEY MANAGEMENT (1€/PIP) +6364€

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITH MONEY MANAGEMENT (0.5€/PIP)        +27888€

 

INITIUM: https://market.prorealcode.com/product/violet-1-bot/

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITHOUT MONEY MANAGEMENT (1€/PIP) +6224€

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITH MONEY MANAGEMENT (0.5€/PIP)        +62315€

 

____________________________________________________________________

TOTAL PROFIT IN 5 YEARS BACKTEST OPERATING WITH THE 7 ALGORITHMS

WITHOUT MONEY MANAGEMENT (1€/PIP) 80535€

WITH MONEY MANAGEMENT (0.5€/PIP in progression) 608858€

____________________________________________________________________

ENDIF

 

 

 

 

 

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