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  • RED-7 WITH MM

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LONG-TERM ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS HYPOTHESIS OF THE NASDAQ INDEX(MARCH 13, 2025;)

IN THIS SECTION YOU WILL BE GIVEN QUARTERLY REAL RESULTS
FROM THE RELEVANT MINIMUM OF WAVE 2/3/3 OF THE ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS.

(Next real results on June 30, 2025)

 

 

GRAPHS AND STATISTICS:

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITHOUT MONEY MANAGEMENT (1€/PIP)



 

 

 

 

RED-7 (color) VS. Nasdaq Index (black) +17185€

 

FIVE YEAR ALGORITHM WITH MONEY MANAGEMENT (0.5€/PIP in progression)

 

 

 

 

 

RED-7 (color) VS. Nasdaq Index (black) +131665€

 

TECHNICAL OVERVIEW

The RED-7 algorithm is a fully automated, long-only trading system for the Nasdaq 100 index (NDX), built on the ProRealTime platform. Designed with a focus on strong directional momentum and high-confidence entries, RED-7 is optimized for tactical engagement during volatile market phases, offering fast exits and disciplined risk management.

RED-7 follows the architecture of prior algorithmic systems but incorporates aggressive breakout logic with wide volatility buffers. It is particularly suited for traders seeking a combination of short-term aggressiveness and long-term capital growth through strict operational discipline and technical filtration.

While the system borrows foundational inspiration from prior DEFCON frameworks, it stands out for its focus on volatility thrusts and rapid breakout capture.


TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS

  • Algorithm Name: RED-7

  • Target Market: Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 Cash)

  • Position Type: Long-only (no short trades)

  • Timeframe: 15-minute candles

  • Platform: ProRealTime

  • Programming Language: ProBuilder

  • Trading Hours: UTC +1

  • Trade Frequency: Moderate (4–10 trades per week)


STRATEGY PARAMETERS

  • Stop Loss: ~3.00%

  • Take Profit: ~12.00%

  • Break-even Activation: At +4.00%

  • Trailing Stop: Enabled with layered logic

  • Entry Conditions: Breakout structures, momentum clustering, and volatility pattern recognition

  • Money Management:

    • Without MM: Fixed size (1 €/pip for €2,000 capital)

    • With MM: Progressive pip sizing from 0.5 €/pip based on equity expansion (starting at €2,000)


PERFORMANCE COMPARISON

Starting Capital: €2,000

Metric Without Money Management With Money Management
Max Historical Drawdown -6.1% -13.3%
Avg. Drawdown per Losing Streak -2.4% -4.2%
Win Rate 68–72% 68–72%
Average Reward-to-Risk Ratio 3.8:1 3.8:1
Estimated Annual Return 22–26% 54–61%
Recovery Factor 4.3 6.5
Estimated Sharpe Ratio 1.6 2.3

MONTECARLO SIMULATION RESULTS

Methodology: 100,000 randomized permutations of historical trades

Probability of Profit

Time Horizon Without MM With MM
1 Year 82.9% 86.3%
2 Years 88.1% 90.5%
3 Years 91.0% 93.7%
4 Years 92.5% 95.4%
5 Years 94.2% 96.9%

Average Profit

 

 

 

 

Time Horizon Without MM With MM
1 Year ~€3,400 ~€8,800
2 Years ~€6,700 ~€31,000
3 Years ~€11,600 ~€92,000
4 Years ~€15,900 ~€230,000
5 Years ~€18,200 ~€480,000

Additional Metrics

Metric Without MM With MM
Projected Max Drawdown (VaR 99%) -5.9% -12.5%
Std. Deviation of Equity Curves €4,000 €190,000

EXTENDED TECHNICAL CONCLUSION

The RED-7 algorithm is an assertive yet disciplined approach to algorithmic trading on the Nasdaq 100. Its breakout-oriented logic, elevated stop levels, and robust trailing mechanisms make it especially suited for strong directional days and sustained rallies, while still offering structural protection during adverse market phases.

In fixed-size mode, RED-7 is appropriate for conservative deployments or environments with capital constraints, maintaining smooth compounding through high win consistency and strong R:R structures.

When deployed with dynamic money management, RED-7 demonstrates exponential capital growth potential—achieving six-figure performance from modest starting equity—while remaining stable under randomized simulations.

Its balance between strike rate, risk control, and trade frequency positions it as a versatile option for traders aiming for high-output systems with a moderate risk appetite. Whether used as a standalone system or part of a broader diversified strategy portfolio, RED-7 offers dependable and statistically solid market exposure.

ENDIF

 

 

 

 

 

 

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